Watfordvs
Southampton
COMPLETEDEngland · Championship · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Southampton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Watford 2-1 Southampton
Original prediction
Southampton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 23:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.2-calibrated-1x2.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Southampton
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
42.7%
Southampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WatfordWLWDL
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SouthamptonWWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WatfordSouthampton
44.2Attack61.9
55.8Defence56.5
40.6Form63.9
48.1Power61.4
1.18xG1.56