Watfordvs
Middlesbrough
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 11/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WatfordLLWLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MiddlesbroughDDWLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
WatfordMiddlesbrough
29.2Attack66.7
58.3Defence50.0
33.3Form62.5
43.2Power62.4
0.98xG1.56