Waterfordvs
Sligo Rovers
COMPLETEDIreland · FAI Cup · 9/4/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Waterford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Waterford 3-0 Sligo Rovers
Original prediction
Waterford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 56.3% | 41.9% | -14.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.5% | 25.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Away | 4.50 | 20.2% | 32.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-14.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Waterford
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Waterford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WaterfordWDWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sligo RoversLDWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
WaterfordSligo Rovers
66.7Attack100.0
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
83.3Power100.0
1.77xG1.77