Derry Cityvs
Waterford
SCHEDULEDIreland · FAI Cup · 11/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Derry City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 04:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Derry City
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Derry City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Derry CityWLDDW
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WaterfordWWDWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Derry CityWaterford
75.0Attack91.7
83.3Defence75.0
100.0Form100.0
87.9Power90.3
1.81xG1.70