Wanderersvs
Central Espanol
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 8/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wanderers 0-0 Central Espanol, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wanderers 3-0 Central Espanol
Original prediction
Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.8% | 39.1% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 28.9% | 28.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.61 | 25.3% | 32.3% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Wanderers 0–0 Central Espanol
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WanderersLDWLW
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Central EspanolLLWDL
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
WanderersCentral Espanol
41.0Attack38.7
53.8Defence61.3
50.0Form48.0
49.8Power51.1
1.02xG0.98