Progresovs
Defensor Sporting
SCHEDULEDUruguay · Primera División · 11/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Progreso 0-0 Defensor Sporting, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 22 October 2026 at 06:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Projected Score
Progreso 0–0 Defensor Sporting
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.5%
Model confidence
34.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ProgresoWDLWW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensor SportingLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ProgresoDefensor Sporting
30.3Attack30.3
52.5Defence59.6
32.3Form35.4
41.2Power44.3
0.78xG0.79