Wanderersvs
Boston River
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 10/10/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Wanderers 1-0 Boston River, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Wanderers 1-3 Boston River
Original prediction
Wanderers
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.2% | 48.1% | 6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.5% | 28.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.01 | 30.3% | 23.9% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.8 pts
Projected Score
Wanderers 1–0 Boston River
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WanderersDWWLD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Boston RiverDLWLL
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WanderersBoston River
42.7Attack31.2
57.3Defence54.8
52.1Form33.3
52.0Power41.9
1.28xG0.70