Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wanderers · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Wanderers 2-1 Albion FC
Original prediction
Wanderers
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 39.1% | 39.0% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.05 | 29.8% | 28.7% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.92 | 31.1% | 32.3% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
Wanderers
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Wanderers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WanderersLDDLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Albion FCLDLLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WanderersAlbion FC
41.1Attack42.5
55.6Defence56.3
48.9Form39.1
49.9Power47.4
1.17xG1.02