Walter Ferrettivs
Rancho Santana
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walter Ferretti · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 3-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walter Ferretti 4-1 Rancho Santana
Original prediction
Walter Ferretti
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 65.7% | 64.6% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.44 | 20.5% | 20.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 6.56 | 13.9% | 15.3% | 1.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.3–011%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Walter Ferretti
Probability
64.6%
Model confidence
64.6%
Walter Ferretti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 16 · GA 9 · avg 3.20/1.80
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20