Walter Ferrettivs
Managua
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 9/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Managua · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walter Ferretti 2-3 Managua
Original prediction
Managua
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.82 | 23.8% | 17.3% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.4% | 21.0% | -4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.79 | 50.8% | 61.8% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.79 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Managua
Probability
61.8%
Model confidence
61.8%
Managua has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00