Walter Ferrettivs
Jalapa
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 10/4/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walter Ferretti · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walter Ferretti 2-2 Jalapa
Original prediction
Walter Ferretti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.78 | 51.0% | 52.5% | 1.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.6% | 25.0% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.4% | 22.5% | 0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Walter Ferretti
Probability
52.5%
Model confidence
52.5%
Walter Ferretti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80