Walsallvs
Salford City
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 10/26/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Walsall 0-0 Salford City, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Walsall 2-4 Salford City
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.10 | 30.0% | 35.4% | 5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.8% | 30.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 43.2% | 34.0% | -9.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Walsall 0–0 Salford City
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.6%
Model confidence
35.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalsallWDWDD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Salford CityWWWDW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
WalsallSalford City
48.5Attack52.8
78.8Defence66.7
57.6Form69.4
62.5Power65.0
1.02xG0.76