Newport Countyvs
Chesterfield
SCHEDULEDEngland · League Two · 10/30/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:44 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
29.9%
Model confidence
35.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Newport CountyDWWDD
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChesterfieldWLDWW
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Newport CountyChesterfield
50.0Attack45.8
50.0Defence58.3
37.5Form45.8
47.2Power52.3
1.34xG1.27