Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walsall 0-0 Rochdale
Original prediction
Walsall
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 53.7% | 49.1% | -4.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 24.9% | 26.8% | 1.9 pts |
| Away | 4.34 | 21.3% | 24.1% | 2.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.72 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalsallDDWDD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RochdaleLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
WalsallRochdale
53.3Attack33.3
73.3Defence33.3
60.0Form20.0
63.3Power30.3
2.04xG0.74