Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Walsall 1-0 Port Vale, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Walsall 2-0 Port Vale
Original prediction
Walsall
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.37 | 38.9% | 48.6% | 9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.7% | 27.9% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.4% | 23.4% | -8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.7 pts
Projected Score
Walsall 1–0 Port Vale
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalsallDDDWD
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Port ValeWLLDD
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
WalsallPort Vale
44.4Attack16.7
77.8Defence61.1
55.6Form27.8
60.6Power38.3
1.32xG0.61