Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Walsall 1-0 Oldham, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Walsall 3-0 Oldham
Original prediction
Walsall
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 38.8% | 53.3% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 26.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 33.7% | 20.5% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.40 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
14.4 pts
Projected Score
Walsall 1–0 Oldham
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalsallDWDDL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 2/5
OldhamWWDLW
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WalsallOldham
43.3Attack43.3
76.7Defence53.3
53.3Form36.7
59.3Power44.8
1.35xG0.59