Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Walsall are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Grimsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Walsall hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (49.2 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.2% in the League Two, while Walsall holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
49.7%
Model confidence
12.2%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60