Walsallvs
Accrington ST
COMPLETEDEngland · League Two · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Walsall · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Walsall 3-2 Accrington ST
Original prediction
Walsall
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 49.5% | 48.7% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 26.7% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.99 | 23.3% | 24.6% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.88 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Walsall
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Walsall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalsallDDWWD
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Accrington STLDLDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
WalsallAccrington ST
50.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence33.3
66.7Form16.7
71.2Power31.3
1.75xG0.92