Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portugal · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 18 October 2026 at 02:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Portugal
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Portugal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
WalesLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PortugalWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
WalesPortugal
16.7Attack75.0
58.3Defence66.7
25.0Form100.0
36.6Power84.6
0.87xG1.60