Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spain · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 02:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–211%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Spain
Probability
56.6%
Model confidence
56.6%
Spain has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CzechiaLLLLW
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
SpainWWWWW
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
CzechiaSpain
16.7Attack100.0
16.7Defence58.3
0.0Form100.0
16.9Power87.9
0.92xG2.16