Volga Ulyanovskvs
Veles
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 10/25/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (11%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volga Ulyanovsk 1-0 Veles
Original prediction
Volga Ulyanovsk
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 43.6% | 36.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 28.9% | 28.9% | -0.0 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 27.5% | 35.1% | 7.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.0–111%
Predicted outcome
Volga Ulyanovsk
Probability
36.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40