Nizhny Novgorodvs
Arsenal Tula
SCHEDULEDRussia · First League · 10/30/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nizhny Novgorod · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-0 (13%), 2-0 (12%), 4-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–013%
- 2.2–012%
- 3.4–011%
Predicted outcome
Nizhny Novgorod
Probability
75.7%
Model confidence
75.7%
Nizhny Novgorod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Nizhny NovgorodWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Arsenal TulaWLDLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nizhny NovgorodArsenal Tula
100.0Attack33.3
61.1Defence38.9
86.1Form36.1
81.2Power39.0
3.24xG0.63