Volga Ulyanovskvs
Shinnik Yaroslavl
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 8/22/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shinnik Yaroslavl · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volga Ulyanovsk 1-3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
Original prediction
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Volga UlyanovskLWLWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Shinnik YaroslavlWDLDW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
33.3Attack50.0
50.0Defence55.6
33.3Form50.0
41.2Power53.0
1.04xG1.29