Volga Ulyanovskvs
Leningradets
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 9/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Volga Ulyanovsk · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Volga Ulyanovsk 0-1 Leningradets
Original prediction
Volga Ulyanovsk
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 54.4% | 54.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.3% | 24.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Away | 4.65 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 1.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Volga Ulyanovsk
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Volga Ulyanovsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40