Vitória SCvs
Casa Pia
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vitória SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vitória SC 0-0 Casa Pia
Original prediction
Vitória SC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.51 | 62.2% | 52.7% | -9.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 23.4% | 25.6% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.51 | 14.4% | 21.8% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Vitória SC
Probability
52.7%
Model confidence
52.7%
Vitória SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40