Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arouca · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Arouca
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
59.8%
Arouca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AroucaDLDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
NacionalLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AroucaNacional
47.6Attack33.3
66.7Defence28.6
52.4Form19.0
56.0Power29.6
2.13xG0.72