Vitória SCvs
Arouca
COMPLETEDPortugal · Primeira Liga · 8/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arouca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Vitória SC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Arouca are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arouca hold a 53.7-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Primeira Liga, while Arouca holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arouca
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Arouca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00