Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
15%
HighconfidenceVitoria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bahia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and bahia hold a 11.3-point power-rating edge (42.6 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring Bahia with 15.1% confidence, a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
15.1%
Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VitoriaLWLLL
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
BahiaDDDDW
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
VitoriaBahia
33.3Attack43.9
50.0Defence62.1
39.4Form50.0
42.6Power53.9
0.79xG1.24