Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 28 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–014%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Bahia
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BahiaLWWWW
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sao PauloWDLLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
BahiaSao Paulo
51.2Attack39.5
58.3Defence63.0
54.8Form44.4
56.8Power50.8
1.24xG0.88