GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie B · 9/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Virtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza Virtus

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1543.5%34.4%-9.1 pts
Draw3.0430.6%30.7%0.0 pts
Away3.6125.8%34.9%9.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 2.04 · Draw 2.04 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.7%

Model confidence

34.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus EntellaLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Vicenza VirtusLWDDW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Virtus EntellaVicenza Virtus
31.6Attack50.0
55.3Defence50.0
36.8Form50.0
43.5Power50.0
0.91xG1.15
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