Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Catanzaro · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:21 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.2–011%
Predicted outcome
Catanzaro
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Catanzaro has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CatanzaroLWLLL
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PadovaLWLDW
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CatanzaroPadova
53.7Attack34.2
52.8Defence57.0
52.0Form40.4
54.1Power46.6
1.52xG0.86