Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.7%
Model confidence
36.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CarrareseLLLDL
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ArezzoLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CarrareseArezzo
34.2Attack50.0
57.0Defence50.0
39.5Form50.0
45.8Power50.0
0.99xG1.10