Virtus Entellavs
Mantova
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mantova · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Virtus Entella 0-1 Mantova
Original prediction
Mantova
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 41.0% | 35.5% | -5.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 29.7% | 27.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 3.17 | 29.3% | 37.4% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Mantova
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Mantova has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Virtus EntellaWDDWD
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
MantovaLWDWD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Virtus EntellaMantova
47.6Attack61.9
61.9Defence61.9
42.9Form66.7
52.0Power64.8
1.18xG1.33