GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie B · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus Entella · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Virtus Entella 1-1 Juve Stabia

Original prediction

Virtus Entella

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0744.9%46.5%1.6 pts
Draw3.1030.0%28.1%-1.8 pts
Away3.7025.1%25.4%0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

1.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–014%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

Virtus Entella

Probability

46.5%

Model confidence

46.5%

Virtus Entella has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Virtus EntellaDWDLL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Juve StabiaDWDDL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus EntellaJuve Stabia
46.7Attack26.7
60.0Defence53.3
33.3Form33.3
47.1Power40.6
1.41xG0.85
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