Virtus Entellavs
Cesena
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 8/29/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cesena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Virtus Entella 0-0 Cesena, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Virtus Entella 1-2 Cesena
Original prediction
Cesena
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 43.0% | 33.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.5% | 29.8% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.5% | 36.8% | 9.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.39 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.3 pts
Projected Score
Virtus Entella 0–0 Cesena
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Cesena
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Cesena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Virtus EntellaLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CesenaDLDWW
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Virtus EntellaCesena
31.6Attack39.3
55.3Defence59.0
36.8Form45.3
43.5Power50.1
0.81xG0.98