Viimsivs
Tartu Welco
COMPLETEDEstonia · Esiliiga A · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viimsi 0-2 Tartu Welco
Original prediction
Viimsi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 43.8% | 42.9% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.7% | 21.1% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.5% | 35.9% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
42.9%
Model confidence
42.9%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ViimsiLWLWW
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Tartu WelcoWDDLW
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
ViimsiTartu Welco
64.4Attack90.8
66.7Defence55.2
57.5Form67.8
61.6Power69.2
1.88xG1.75