Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Elva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Elva
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Elva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MaarduLWWWL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ElvaWDWLW
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MaarduElva
56.0Attack52.2
29.8Defence51.1
48.8Form53.3
46.5Power53.7
1.79xG2.13