ViimsivsNõmme United II

Viimsi are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nõmme United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and viimsi hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely result in the Esiliiga A, favouring Viimsi with 9.0% confidence, a 63% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.