Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Viimsi 0-0 Flora II, with an exact score probability of 32%.
Prediction record
Final result
Viimsi 1-1 Flora II
Original prediction
Viimsi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.46 | 61.6% | 39.1% | -22.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.0% | 31.8% | 11.9 pts |
| Away | 4.88 | 18.4% | 29.1% | 10.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.49 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.5 pts
Projected Score
Viimsi 0–0 Flora II
Exact score probability: 32%
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ViimsiWDWLL
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Flora IIWDLDL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ViimsiFlora II
29.9Attack37.3
84.3Defence72.1
45.1Form42.6
52.5Power49.1
0.58xG0.61