Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Viimsi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Viimsi 5-0 Elva
Original prediction
Viimsi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.61 | 56.1% | 58.6% | 2.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 21.4% | 20.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 4.02 | 22.4% | 20.8% | -1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.61 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Viimsi
Probability
58.6%
Model confidence
58.6%
Viimsi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ViimsiLWWLW
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
ElvaWWDWL
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
ViimsiElva
63.0Attack54.3
65.4Defence54.3
58.0Form54.3
61.4Power55.8
1.95xG1.05