Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vihren · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vihren 1-1 Marek
Original prediction
Vihren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 06:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.25 | 72.4% | 68.1% | -4.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.82 | 18.7% | 20.0% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 10.15 | 8.9% | 11.9% | 3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.82 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.2–014%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Vihren
Probability
68.1%
Model confidence
68.1%
Vihren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VihrenLLWWL
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MarekLWWDL
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
VihrenMarek
69.4Attack38.9
66.7Defence61.1
66.7Form47.2
67.9Power50.6
1.82xG0.67