Vihrenvs
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
COMPLETEDBulgaria · Second League · 9/3/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vihren · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vihren 4-1 Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Original prediction
Vihren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.67 | 54.0% | 45.2% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.71 | 24.3% | 25.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.15 | 21.7% | 29.1% | 7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.67 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Vihren
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Vihren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VihrenWDWDW
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Etar Veliko TarnovoDLDWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
VihrenEtar Veliko Tarnovo
61.1Attack66.7
66.7Defence61.1
66.7Form61.1
66.8Power63.2
1.46xG1.18