Vicenza Virtusvs
Pisa
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 10/10/2026, 3:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pisa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vicenza Virtus 0-3 Pisa
Original prediction
Pisa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.92 | 31.9% | 34.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.8% | 26.0% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.32 | 40.2% | 39.8% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Pisa
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Pisa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vicenza VirtusLLDDL
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
PisaLDLLW
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Vicenza VirtusPisa
46.7Attack53.3
33.3Defence46.7
33.3Form46.7
40.6Power49.7
1.45xG1.58