Vicenza Virtusvs
Juve Stabia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie B · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vicenza Virtus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (15%), 1-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve Stabia
Original prediction
Vicenza Virtus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.05 | 45.5% | 39.0% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.19 | 29.3% | 30.3% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 25.2% | 30.7% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.19 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–015%
- 3.1–013%
Predicted outcome
Vicenza Virtus
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Vicenza Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80