Venados FCvs
Tepatitlán
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 9/12/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tepatitlán are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 40.3-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 13.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.4% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Venados FC
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40