Alebrijes de OaxacavsMineros de Zacatecas

Alebrijes de Oaxaca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mineros de Zacatecas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mineros de Zacatecas hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Mineros de Zacatecas holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.