Venados FCvs
Leones Negros UDG
SCHEDULEDMexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leones Negros UDG
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80