GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Leones Negros UDG · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Leones Negros UDG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones Negros UDG hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (53.2 v 63.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.1% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Leones Negros UDG holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Leones Negros UDG

Probability

37.1%

Model confidence

37.1%

Leones Negros UDG has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLWDWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Leones Negros UDGLWWLL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Venados FCLeones Negros UDG
66.7Attack77.8
33.3Defence44.4
58.3Form66.7
53.2Power63.5
1.82xG1.85
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