GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Venados FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Durango are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LLWW), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 55.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Venados FCLWDWD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
DurangoLLWW

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 0/4O2.5 1/4
Venados FCDurango
66.7Attack22.2
33.3Defence66.7
58.3Form66.7
53.2Power55.1
1.61xG1.34
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