GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 10/10/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Remo

Original prediction

Vasco DA Gama

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3172.1%55.0%-17.1 pts
Draw5.3317.8%23.2%5.4 pts
Away9.3910.1%21.8%11.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-17.1 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–19%

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

55.0%

Model confidence

55.0%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaWWWWD

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RemoDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Vasco DA GamaRemo
42.9Attack37.9
50.0Defence44.8
40.5Form27.6
46.1Power39.1
1.55xG1.01
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