Vasco DA Gamavs
Corinthians
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 10/24/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Corinthians, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasco DA Gama 3-2 Corinthians
Original prediction
Vasco DA Gama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 56.3% | 44.9% | -11.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 25.0% | 27.5% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.07 | 18.7% | 27.6% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.4 pts
Projected Score
Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Corinthians
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20